BNY's Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage relays comments from RBNZ Governor Anna Breman, who expects the Middle East conflict to lift near‑term headline inflation and weaken New Zealand’s growth momentum. Breman stresses risks to global financial stability but notes domestic banks’ resilience and signals no rush to hike rates, with the Monetary Policy Committee focused on avoiding policy mistakes while keeping inflation low and stable over the medium term.

RBNZ flags risks, stays patient

"RBNZ Governor Anna Breman has highlighted the impact of the Middle East conflict on New Zealand’s economy, expecting higher near-term headline inflation and weaker growth momentum."

"She acknowledged the risks to global financial stability that could affect New Zealand banks but noted their resilience thanks to strong capital and liquidity buffers, signaling that RBNZ will not rush to raise rates."

"The Monetary Policy Committee will carefully assess the appropriate response to avoid premature or delayed actions, aiming to prevent temporary inflation spikes from becoming entrenched."

"The focus remains on delivering low and stable inflation over the medium term to support New Zealanders’ wellbeing."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)