欧元:兑美元下行风险被1.1500阻挡 – 大华银行
大华银行(UOB)的郭世良和李素安对欧元/美元保持谨慎看空,指出欧元有下跌空间,但预计1.1500暂时将得到支撑,1.1520为附近支撑位。

大华银行(UOB)的郭世良和李秀安对欧元/美元持谨慎看法,指出欧元有下跌空间,但预计1.1500暂时将得到支撑,1.1520为附近支撑位。在1至3周内,他们维持负面偏见,预计突破1.1500将打开1.1445的下行空间,而若升破1.1585则会否定下行情景。

谨慎看跌,关键支撑位仍然有效

“24小时观点:虽然我们昨日持有欧元“可能小幅下跌”的观点,但指出“基于当前动能,任何跌势不太可能触及1.1500。”我们还提到“1.1520是另一个支撑位。”我们的观点未能实现,因欧元在纽约早盘时段于1.1530至1.1572之间波动,最终收于1.1535,几乎无变化(-0.07%)。整体基调仍显疲软,欧元今日有小幅下跌的可能。然而,突破1.1500不太可能(1.1520仍被视为支撑)。阻力位在1.1550和1.1570。”

“1-3周观点:延续我们上周对欧元的负面看法(见下图注释),我们昨日(6月10日,现价1.1540)强调“虽然维持负面看法,但1.1500作为坚实支撑,欧元必须跌破该水平,才可能进一步下探至1.1445。”我们的观点未变。若欧元突破1.1585(此前的“强阻力”位1.1600),则表明下行风险已减弱。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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