欧元/美元:欧洲央行信息成为该货币对的锚定因素 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)的Chris Turner预计欧元将在窄幅区间内波动,市场正等待周四的欧洲央行(ECB)会议。他指出,欧洲央行不太可能加息,但鉴于高企的油价驱动的通胀预期,必须保持加息的可能性。

荷兰国际集团(ING)的Chris Turner预计欧元将在窄幅区间内波动,市场正等待周四的欧洲央行(ECB)会议。他指出,鉴于高企的油价推动的通胀预期,欧洲央行不太可能加息,但必须将加息选项保留在桌面上。ING认为,关于可能在六月加息的强烈警告本周可以支撑欧元/美元在1.1700附近。

欧洲央行沟通对欧元至关重要

“本周欧元区日程的亮点将是周四的欧洲央行会议。”

“油价危机带来的滞胀冲击已经开始在欧洲数据中显现,尽管周四不会加息,欧洲央行仍需传达强烈信息,表明加息仍在考虑之中。”

“由于高油价使通胀预期维持在高位(例如,通过通胀互换推导的两年期欧元通胀预期仍高于2.80%),任何显示欧洲央行忽视通胀飙升的迹象都可能导致欧元遭受抛售。”

“这不是我们的判断,我们认为对六月加息的强烈警告可以支撑本周欧元/美元在1.1700附近。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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