欧元/美元:因能源冲击承压 - 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)的Chris Turner指出,欧元/美元已跌破1.1500,因美元计价的能源成本上升对大多数欧洲企业造成了影响

荷兰国际集团(ING)的Chris Turner指出,随着美元计价的能源成本上升,欧元/美元已跌破1.1500,这对大多数欧洲企业造成了伤害。他强调,直到1.1390/1.1400区域之前,技术支撑有限,并警告称,外围欧元区利差的扩大以及对高能源价格的财政响应可能会成为欧洲比美国更大的故事。

欧元因利差扩大而下滑

"欧元/美元在欧洲早盘刚刚跌破1.1500。拥有美元应收款的欧洲企业对此消息表示欢迎,但对于绝大多数欧洲企业而言,能源成本的美元应付款上升是痛苦的。在1.1470以下,直到去年8月初的1.1390/1400低点之前几乎没有支撑。"

"另一个值得关注的趋势是外围欧元区主权利差的扩大。"

"低波动性和对收益的追求使得市场在今年早些时候将外围利差压缩到非常窄的水平——例如,10年期希腊-德国主权利差为50个基点。"

"当前的扩大可能仅反映去杠杆化,但投资者现在将关注政府支持措施,以保护消费者免受高能源价格的影响,以及这对财政前景的意义。再一次,这可能成为欧洲比美国更大的故事。"

"除非海湾地区有一些明确的积极消息,否则欧元/美元今天可能难以回到1.1500/1525以上。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建,并由编辑审核。)

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