欧元疲软,回落至周四的低点 – 加拿大丰业银行
欧元(EUR)疲软,微跌0.1%,回落至周四略高于1.15的低点,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告。

欧元(EUR)走势疲软,微跌0.1%,回落至周四略高于1.15的低点,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

PMI数据呈现混合信号

“最新的11月份初步PMI数据对欧元区经济的解读呈现混合信号,制造业略有失望(49.7对50.1预期和50前值),而服务业则意外向上(53.1对52.8预期和53前值)。这些读数在50的两侧保持适度,但考虑到服务业在欧元区经济中占比较大,整体上仍然是净正面的。”

“收益率差在最近推升至区间上限后为欧元提供了新的支撑,主要反映出美国收益率的下降,因为欧元区的利率预期保持稳定。最后,欧洲央行(ECB)行长拉加德(Lagarde)的评论异常坦率,她表示欧洲的出口驱动增长模式是‘基于一个正在消失的世界’,各国政府在寻求实现增长时需要以更紧迫的态度采取行动。”

“欧元继续以防御性交易,其不稳定的稳定尝试看起来愈发脆弱。预计周四略高于1.15的低点附近将是直接支撑,11月初的中/上1.14区间将是额外支撑,随后是8月初的1.14低点。我们谨慎中立,同时承认进一步疲软的风险。我们预计短期内将在1.1480和1.1580之间区间震荡。”

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