欧元区经济面临近乎停滞,欧洲央行对降息持谨慎态度 – 拉博银行
荷兰银行的RaboResearch全球经济与市场报告显示,欧元区的制造业复苏进展缓慢,工业信心依然疲弱

荷兰银行的RaboResearch全球经济与市场报告指出,欧元区的制造业复苏进展缓慢,工业信心依然疲弱。

报告还提到,一些欧洲央行行长认为降息周期已结束,尽管其他人仍对进一步降息持开放态度,突显出政策的不确定性。

欧元区增长接近停滞,欧洲央行对降息持谨慎态度

“欧洲委员会11月的经济信心调查于昨日发布,显示制造业复苏进展缓慢。”

“总体而言,这证实了我们对欧元区增长面临接近停滞而非强劲扩张的看法,因为经济仍在消化美国进口关税的影响。”

“然而,随着劳动力市场降温和实际工资增长放缓,家庭支出在未来几个季度可能会减弱。”

“积极的一面是,较低的能源价格、企业融资条件略有放松,以及在能源转型、自动化、数字化和国防方面的持续投资需求,仍为2026年的生产主导型复苏提供了路径。”

“10月会议的记录显示,一些政策制定者认为降息周期已结束,尽管他们的同行反驳称‘保持开放的心态以应对进一步降息的可能性是重要的。’”

(本故事由AI协助创作。)

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