欧元：政策分歧限制上涨空间 – 北欧银行

欧元：政策分歧限制上涨空间 – 北欧银行

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北欧联合银行的研究表明，未来几个月欧元/美元的上涨空间受利率差异和相对增长的限制。欧洲央行被认为比美联储更接近加息周期的尾声，而欧元区的数据仍然弱于美国数据。

北欧银行的研究表明，未来几个月欧元/美元的上涨空间将受到利率差异和相对增长的限制。欧洲央行被认为比美联储更接近加息周期的尾声，而欧元区的数据仍然逊于美国数据。随着美国的特殊优势逐渐消退，北欧银行仍预计欧元/美元在长期内将实现适度回升。

利差和增长拖累欧元

“我们认为欧元/美元近期上涨空间有限，因为欧洲央行可能比美联储更接近加息周期的结束，且欧元区的增长持续落后于美国。”

“我们的基线预期是欧元/美元在未来几个月大致横盘整理，随后随着美国特殊优势的消退以及美联储最终在欧洲央行之前开始降息，欧元/美元将逐步走高。”

“若欧元/美元跌破近期低点，将可能下探至1.03–1.05区间，而若要持续站上1.10以上，则可能需要欧元区相对数据意外明显好于预期，或美联储的鸽派重新定价。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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