日元:日本央行暗示六月加息路径 – BNY
大华银行(BNY)的鲍勃·萨维奇(Bob Savage)指出,据报导,日本央行官员倾向于在6月会议上将利率上调25个基点至1.0%,随着能源和日元疲软带来的通胀风险持续存在,2026年还有进一步加息的空间。

大华银行(BNY)的鲍勃·萨维奇(Bob Savage)指出,据报导,日本央行(BoJ)官员倾向于在6月会议上将利率上调25个基点至1.0%,并预计随着能源价格上涨和日元走弱带来的通胀风险持续,2026年还有进一步加息的空间。行长植田和男(Kazuo Ueda)已表示,如果通胀风险占主导地位,将会有更多紧缩措施,而随着市场功能的改善,日本央行可能会放缓债券购买的缩减速度。

日本央行准备逐步收紧政策

“据报导,日本央行官员倾向于在6月政策会议上将利率上调25个基点至1.0%,政策制定者也认为2026年晚些时候还有进一步加息的空间。”

“讨论反映了对与能源价格上涨和日元走弱相关的持续上行通胀风险的担忧。”

“植田和男行长最近表示,如果通胀风险超过增长担忧,紧缩的可能性更大。”

“此外,日本央行预计将考虑从下一个财政年度开始放缓债券购买缩减的步伐,官员们认为政府债券市场功能已有所改善,即使采取更为渐进的缩减方式,资产负债表的收缩仍将继续。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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