亚洲外汇:地缘政治推动回调与双向交易 – 华侨银行
大华银行(OCBC)策略师沈慕祥和黄志伟认为,伊朗重新关闭霍尔木兹海峡后,亚洲外汇可能会回吐周五的反弹。高贝塔韩元(KRW)预计将率先回调,而新台币(TWD)、印度卢比(INR)、泰铢(THB)和菲律宾比索(PHP)也因对油价敏感而走软。

大华银行(OCBC)策略师沈慕祥和黄志伟认为,伊朗重新关闭霍尔木兹海峡后,亚洲外汇可能会回吐周五的涨幅。高贝塔的韩元预计将引领回调,而新台币、印度卢比、泰铢和菲律宾比索因对油价敏感也将走软。低贝塔的离岸人民币和新加坡元波动可能较小,但仍承压,随着停火谈判的进展,双向交易将更受青睐。

高贝塔货币引领区域回调

“亚洲外汇可能回撤周五晚些时候的涨幅,而美元则应因地缘政治局势的变化在周末获得避险买盘。”

“在亚洲外汇中,受益于早前积极进展的高贝塔韩元预计将出现更大幅度的回调。”

“大多数亚洲外汇,包括新台币、印度卢比、泰铢和菲律宾比索,由于对油价和风险情绪的敏感性,也应走软。”

“相对而言,低贝塔货币,包括离岸人民币和新加坡元波动较小,但可能仍面临压力。”

“这凸显了地缘政治局势的流动性,并继续支持双向交易策略。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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