印度卢比:印度储备银行的资金流动措施提供了短期支撑 – 华侨银行
华侨银行(OCBC)报告称,印度储备银行将政策利率维持在5.25%,但推出了有针对性的资本流动措施,包括优惠外汇掉期和对外国投资者持有政府债券的税收豁免。

华侨银行(OCBC)报告称,印度储备银行将政策利率维持在5.25%,但推出了有针对性的资本流动措施,包括优惠外汇掉期和对外国投资者购买政府债券的税收豁免。这些措施应有助于支持印度的国际收支和平衡卢比的短期走势,尽管该银行仍预计随着食品和能源通胀压力的加大,2027财年将有50个基点的紧缩。

资本流动工具与未来紧缩

“在6月的印度储备银行会议上,政策利率一致维持在5.25%,但焦点集中在一系列资本流动措施上。”

“这些措施包括通过9月30日可用的优惠外汇掉期利率,鼓励国有企业和银行筹集美元资金。印度储备银行还宣布对外国投资政府证券实行税收豁免,收紧出口收益汇回规定,并扩大了外国机构投资者可投资的长期政府债券范围。”

“总体来看,这些措施对印度的国际收支具有渐进性的积极影响,可能提振市场情绪,为卢比提供短期支撑。尽管如此,我们的经济学家仍预计2027财年将累计紧缩50个基点。”

“风险偏向于更多加息,因为通胀压力不仅来自能源,食品方面的压力也在逐渐加大。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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