英镑：英国央行释放宽松周期步入终局的信号 – 道明证券

英镑：英国央行释放宽松周期步入终局的信号 – 道明证券

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英国央行（BoE）如预期进行了接近分裂的降息，强调随着宽松周期接近尾声，政策决策将变得更加微妙，预计在2026年初可能只会再降息一次，道明证券经济学家报告称。

英国央行（BoE）如预期进行了接近分裂的降息，强调随着宽松周期接近尾声，政策决策将变得更加微妙，预计在2026年初可能只会再降息一次，道明证券经济学家报告称。

接近的投票比凸显政策的细微差别

"英国央行在接近的投票中降息，表明未来的决策将变得更加细致，因为它接近宽松周期的结束。这与我们对2026年第一季度再降息一次的预期一致，然后就结束了。"

"我们对英镑整体持乐观态度，因为在美元情绪减弱、消除任何残留的预算或政治风险溢价、我们对英国央行在再降息一次后结束的相对鹰派预期以及英镑对全球增长的整体贝塔值改善的背景下，英镑的仓位空间有望改善。"

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