油价因中东冲击飙升 – 德意志银行
德意志银行分析师指出,布伦特和WTI原油自2020年以来经历了最大两日涨幅,因为对中东冲突持续和供应中断的担忧加剧

德意志银行分析师指出,布伦特和WTI原油自2020年以来经历了最大的两日涨幅,因为对中东冲突持续和供应中断的担忧加剧。他们提到,尽管价格大幅上涨,WTI仍低于其2024年平均水平,且仍远未达到历史上与经济衰退或全面市场修正相关的水平。

能源冲击担忧推动原油上涨

“当然,油价一直是主要关注点,昨天布伦特原油上涨了+4.71%,达到每桶81.40美元。”

“这使得油价成为自2020年疫情复苏以来最大的两日涨幅(+12.31%),今天早上又上涨了+1.51%,达到每桶82.63美元。”

“然而,价格在欧洲交易时段曾突破每桶85美元的日内高点后回落,在特朗普表示美国“将尽快开始护送油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡”时稳定下来,并表示将为通过海湾的船只提供政治风险保险,以“确保能源自由流动到世界”。”

“也就是说,由于计划细节不多,油价的回落证明是短暂的,布伦特原油回落至每桶78.40美元后再次上涨,今天早上重新回到每桶82美元以上。”

“有趣的是,如果你查看油价的长期历史,WTI仍略低于其2024年平均水平,距离与历史上一些更大危机相比较还有很长的路要走。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建,并由编辑审核。)

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XBRUSD
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XTIUSD
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XPTUSD
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