美元/日元:可能重新测试147.20水平 – 大华银行
美元(USD)可能会重新测试147.20水平对日元(JPY)的汇率;在该水平上持续上涨似乎不太可能。

美元(USD)对日元(JPY)可能会再次测试147.20水平;在此水平上持续上涨似乎不太可能。从长远来看,重新获得的动能增加了美元进一步走强的机会,但在可能向147.60移动之前,必须首先收于147.20以上,大华银行集团的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出。

重新获得的动能增加了美元进一步走强的机会

24小时展望:“美元在两天前升至147.18的高点,然后急剧回落。昨天,当美元在146.20时,我们强调了以下内容:‘回调有可能延伸至145.60,然后才可能稳定。145.20的强支撑不太可能受到威胁。阻力位在146.60,随后是146.95。’尽管美元进一步回落,但从145.73的低点反弹。反弹正在积聚动能,今天,美元可能会再次测试147.20水平。在此水平上持续上涨似乎不太可能。支撑位在146.35,随后是146.00。”

1-3周展望:“在本周初保持积极的美元展望后,我们昨天(7月10日,现货146.20)指出‘上涨动能似乎在减弱,如果美元跌破145.20(‘强支撑’水平没有变化),这将意味着147.18是当前美元强势的极限。’随后美元跌至145.73的低点,然后反弹至146.25,基本持平(-0.04%)。在今天的早盘亚洲交易中,美元大幅上涨。重新获得的上涨动能增加了美元进一步走强的机会。然而,美元必须收于147.20以上,才能可能向147.60移动。在下行方面,‘强支撑’水平已上移至145.60,之前为145.20。”

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