美元/日元在中日紧张局势中维持在158.90下方 – BBH
美元/日元仍然在去年的双顶附近158.90下方,因中国对潜在军事用途的商品实施出口管制,尽管日元反应不大。尽管紧张局势升级,分析师认为日本和中国正在进入一种“管理竞争”,贸易和外交渠道可能有助于控制经济干扰,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

美元/日元仍然在去年的双顶附近158.90下方,因中国对潜在军事用途的商品实施出口管制,尽管日元反应不大。尽管紧张局势升级,分析师认为日本和中国正在进入一种“管理竞争”,贸易和外交渠道可能有助于控制经济干扰,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

中国对日本实施双用途出口管制

“美元/日元在去年的双顶附近158.90下方持稳。中国加剧了与日本的外交争端,但对日元的影响是中性的。昨天,中国对任何军事用途的出口实施了管制。根据彭博社的报道,中国的双用途出口管制清单包含800多种物品,从化学品、电子产品和传感器到用于航运和航空航天的设备和技术。”

“中国以日本首相高市早苗去年关于台湾的言论为由,正当化了这一措施,暗示可能在台湾海峡进行军事干预。”

“要找到缓解这些紧张局势的出路将是困难的,因为危机将日本的安全目标与中国持续收复台湾的动力相对立。相反,我们认同这种观点,即日本和中国正在进入一种‘管理竞争’,而不是完全的破裂。过多的相互繁荣依赖于持续的贸易,而两国首都的外交渠道提供了危机管理工具。”

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