美元在降息预期下依然坚挺- 荷兰国际集团
随着市场关注美联储9月降息,注意力转向其他可能支持美元的因素。荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师Chris Turner指出,中国央行已暂停推动人民币升值,而美国对金砖国家的新关税前景则可能对新兴市场货币施加压力,投资者在这些货币上的敞口仍然很大。

随着市场关注美联储9月降息,注意力转向其他可能支持美元的因素。荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师Chris Turner指出,中国央行已暂停推动人民币升值,而美国对金砖国家的新关税前景则可能对新兴市场货币施加压力,投资者在这些货币上的敞口仍然很大。

中国人民银行暂停管理人民币升值,固定美元/人民币稳定

“除了美国数据和预计在9月17日美联储降息25个基点外,我们还关注两个可能为美元提供支持的因素。第一个是上周的小幅反转。中国人民银行最近几天已固定美元/人民币。”

“我们对人民币进行有序、管理性升值的想法似乎已经走到了尽头。听到华盛顿在本周北京展示力量后对金砖国家征收新关税也并不令人惊讶,而下周的金砖国家虚拟峰会将讨论美国关税。”

“这对整体新兴市场货币可能略显负面,因为全球投资者在这些货币上持有超配。”

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