EUR: ECB seen between baseline and adverse paths – Danske Bank
Par FXStreet Insights Team
Mis à jour: 15 Apr 2026
ARTICLES POPULAIRES
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team says ECB President Lagarde reiterated a data-dependent stance, offering no firm forward guidance. The bank argues this reduces the likelihood of an April move unless key data show clear upside price pressures.
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team says ECB President Lagarde reiterated a data-dependent stance, offering no firm forward guidance. The bank argues this reduces the likelihood of an April move unless key data show clear upside price pressures. It assesses the Euro area as between baseline and adverse scenarios, with the latter implying two rate hikes.
Lagarde stresses data before next move
"In the Euro Zone, Lagarde did not give any firm forward guidance signals other than ECB is data-dependent and ready to act."
"She mentioned that the ECB needs data to act, which speaks somewhat against action already in April, unless the important data releases clearly show significant upward price pressures."
"Lagarde also said that the euro area economy is somewhere between the "baseline" and "adverse" scenario."
"In our view the baseline scenario would lead ECB to "look through" the energy shock while "adverse" should cause two hikes."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)
Plus d’un million d’utilisateurs se tournent vers FXStreet pour des données de marché en temps réel, des outils de graphiques, des analyses d’experts et des actualités Forex. Leur calendrier économique complet et leurs webinaires éducatifs aident les traders à rester informés et à prendre des décisions éclairées. FXStreet s’appuie sur une équipe d’environ 60 professionnels répartis entre le siège de Barcelone et diverses régions du monde.
Lire la suite
