Fed's Waller: Advocating for rate cut at December meeting

Key quotes

"Since the last Fed meeting, available data suggests not much change, inflation not a big problem with labor market weak."

"January will be tricky with a flood of data coming to indicate whether another cut is appropriate, need a meeting by meeting approach."

"Still do not think the labor market will turn around in the next few weeks."

"September jobs number likely to be revised down; fact that it was concentrated is not a good sign."

"No anecdotal evidence that firms are about to go on a hiring spree."

"Inflation has ticked up, but think it is going to start coming down."

"Excluding tariffs, inflation is around 2.4% or 2.5%."

"Press conferences are important to continue for the sake of clarity and transparency, though could be changes in how they are organized."

Market reaction

These comments received a dovish score of 3.6 from FXStreet Fedspeech Tracker. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) Index stays under modest bearish pressure and was last seen losing 0.15% on the day at 100.05.

Fed FAQs

What does the Federal Reserve do, how does it impact the US Dollar?

Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.

How often does the Fed hold monetary policy meetings?

The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.

What is Quantitative Easing (QE) and how does it impact USD?

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.

What is Quantitative Tightening (QT) and how does it impact the US Dollar?

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

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