• Bitcoin slides toward $80,000 as geopolitical tensions weigh on sentiment after Trump rejected Iran’s latest proposal to end the war.
• Ethereum slips below the 100-day EMA amid a weakening technical outlook and mild ETF inflows last week.
• XRP recovery outlook is capped below $1.50 despite the MACD maintaining a buy signal.

Cryptocurrency prices are falling on Monday, albeit mildly, after starting the week strongly with Bitcoin (BTC) tagging highs at $82,380. The Crypto King has lost momentum during the trading day and hovers below $81,000 at the time of writing, weighed down by fading geopolitical optimism in the Middle East and renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.

Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are aligned with Bitcoin’s faltering short-term outlook, trading down to around $2,236 and $1.44.

Trump rejects Iran’s proposal to end the war

United States (US) President Donald Trump has rejected Iran’s counterproposal to end the war, terming it “totally unacceptable.” Trump’s response appears to have spooked global markets, which have been pricing in a possible final peace agreement amid the fragile ceasefire.

Media reports say that the latest proposal included recognition of Iran’s sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz and compensation for war damages. Despite Trump’s response, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said that everything in the proposal was "reasonable" and "generous" for Iran’s national interests as well as for the region’s and the world’s stability, according to a CNN report.

The headwinds in the crypto market suggest that investors are on edge and likely to remain cautiously optimistic.

Bitcoin spot ExchangeTraded Funds (ETFs) posted strong inflows totaling $623 million last week. However, the US-listed products saw outflows of $278 million on Thursday and $146 million on Friday, signaling growing caution among institutional investors.

Interest in Ethereum spot ETFs remained relatively steady last week, with inflows totaling $71 million through Friday. There was a single day of outflows amounting to $104 million on Thursday, according to SoSoValue data. Cumulative inflows average $12.09 billion, with net assets under management standing at $13.73 billion.

XRP spot ETFs saw significant improvement last week, with inflows growing to $34.21 million after posting marginal outflows of roughly $35,000 the previous week. Cumulative inflows now stand at $1.32 billion, with net assets under management averaging $1.12 billion.

Technical outlook: Bitcoin shows mild technical weakness and holds support

Bitcoin trades at $80,845, holding a constructive bullish bias as price sits above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) near $76,018 and $76,546, as well as the SuperTrend support around $75,648. The 200-day EMA at roughly $81,982 now acts as the next notable upside barrier. A Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram slightly above zero, together with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 61 on the daily chart, suggests persistent, though not extreme, bullish momentum backing the latest advance.

On the downside, initial support is expected from the 100-day EMA at $76,546, reinforced by the 50-day EMA at $76,018 and the SuperTrend line near $75,648 if a deeper pullback unfolds. On the topside, a clear daily close above the 200-day EMA resistance at $81,982 would likely open the door for further gains, whereas repeated failure to overcome this hurdle could trigger consolidation or a corrective phase back toward the clustered EMA and SuperTrend supports.

Altcoins technical outlook: Ethereum and XRP face pressure as sellers tighten grip

Ethereum trades at $2,334, tracking a neutral near-term bias. The smart contract token appears to be holding just above the 20-day Bollinger Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $2,322 and comfortably above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $2,275, which together suggest underlying buy-the-dip demand.

However, upside traction remains limited, with the price trading beneath the 100-day EMA at $2,343 and well below the 200-day EMA at $2,564. The MACD histogram hovers slightly below its zero line on the daily chart, and the RSI is around 53, hinting at modest bullish momentum.

On the topside, immediate resistance is seen at the 100-day EMA near $2,343, followed by the upper Bollinger Band around $2,389, ahead of the more distant 200-day EMA at $2,564. On the downside, initial support is provided by the 20-day Bollinger midline at $2,322, with stronger protection emerging at the 50-day EMA around $2,275 and the lower Bollinger Band near $2,254. A sustained break beneath this cluster would likely expose a deeper corrective phase.

XRP, on the other hand, is trading at $1.44 while attempting to build a bullish bias after reclaiming both the 50-period EMA and the Bollinger middle band near $1.41, while pressing against the broken downward trendline around $1.44, which now acts as a key pivot.

Momentum is constructive, with the RSI near 57 on the daily chart and the MACD histogram holding slightly positive, hinting that upside pressure is strengthening but not yet overstretched.

On the topside, the immediate hurdle is the trendline pivot at $1.44, with further resistance at the Bollinger upper band near $1.46. A clear break above this area would expose the 100-period EMA around $1.50, ahead of the more distant 200-period EMA near $1.71. On the downside, initial support is seen at the reclaimed 50-period EMA at $1.41, reinforced by the Bollinger middle band at the same level. A drop below this cluster would risk a deeper pullback toward the lower Bollinger band around $1.36.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)