• UK investors show renewed interest in Gold ETFs, with more than $2 billion in inflows in April
• Stable Gold prices, a less-than-expected hawkish BoE, and falling equity prices likely drove increased interest in Gold ETFs.
• Rising ETF demand tends to support spot prices, which have been hovering between $4,400 and $4,900 since late March.

Inflows returned to global Gold ETFs in April, with funds from the United Kingdom (UK) leading the surge, as the price of the precious metal stabilized after March’s sharp decline.   

Global physically backed Gold ETFs recorded inflows of $6.6 billion in April, according to data from the World Gold Council (WGC). This represents a sharp rebound from March, when ETFs registered a significant sell-off. Positive flows via ETFs are a bellwether for spot prices as investor demand via ETFs tends to directly impact the physical market.

By country, the UK registered inflows of more than $2.1 billion, followed by the United States ($845 million) and Hong Kong ($732 million), the WGC report shows. In overall Europe, funds saw a large inflow of $3.7 billion in April, flipping their year-to-date total from negative to positive.

Positive flows in the UK, and broadly in Europe, appeared linked to heightened geopolitical and geoeconomic risks, as investors assessed the inflationary implications of a more protracted Iran conflict and the associated pressure on energy prices, the WGC report said. 

“With local equities retreating and the Bank of England (BoE) less hawkish than expected, investor interest in Gold likely strengthened as prices recovered and stabilised,” it added.

Gold prices have traded broadly rangebound since the end of March, within a band of between $4,400 and $4,900. While geopolitics keeps the precious’ metal safe-haven appeal intact, the quick hawkish repricing of global central banks’ rate outlook is also capping gains. 

April’s ETF rebound shows that Gold has somewhat regained its safe-haven appeal. While investor demand through ETFs could keep providing a solid floor for the precious metal, any significant gains would need a decline in energy prices and messages from central banks that the current plans to keep interest rates at high levels are no longer on the table.