USD/CAD Price Forecast: Surging Oil prices back further downside
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) trades higher against its major currency peers, except antipodeans, during the European trading session on Tuesday.
  • USD/CAD declines to near 1.4120 as the Canadian Dollar trades higher.
  • Surging Oil prices strengthen currencies from economies that are net energy exporters.
  • Investors await the US CPI data due later in the day and Wednesday's BoC monetary policy announcement.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) trades higher against its major currency peers, except antipodeans, during the European trading session on Tuesday. The USD/CAD pair declines 0.25% to near 1.4120 at the time of writing as the Loonie gains amid improvement in the appeal of currencies from economies, such as Canada, which are net Oil exporters.

The United States (US) economy is also a net energy exporter, but the US Dollar faces selling pressure ahead of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June release at 12:30 GMT.

At press time, the WTI Oil price trades 2.73% higher to near $80.00, the highest level seen in almost a month. Oil prices have increased significantly as US President Donald Trump claims that Washington is the rightful recipient of toll fees near the Strait of Hormuz.

On the domestic front, investors await the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) monetary policy announcement due on Wednesday, in which it is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at 2.25%. Investors will pay attention to comments regarding the outlook on inflation and the economy.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.1% lower to near 101.18.

USD/CAD technical analysis

Bias: USD/CAD trades lower at around 1.4120, retaining a mildly bearish near-term bias as it remains capped by the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 1.4136.

Momentum: Price action sits just under this dynamic resistance, hinting at a consolidation phase after the recent pullback, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 52 on the daily chart suggests neutral momentum rather than strong directional conviction.

Resistance: On the topside, immediate resistance is located at the 20-day EMA at 1.4136, and a daily close above this barrier would ease current downside pressure and open the way for a more constructive recovery. Looking up, the major barrier would be the yearly high at around 1.4248.

Support: On the downside, the pair could extend its decline towards the June 18 low at 1.4095; below that, the downside momentum could accelerate, and the pair could fall towards the psychological level of 1.4000.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Economic Indicator

BoC Interest Rate Decision

The Bank of Canada (BoC) announces its interest rate decision at the end of its eight scheduled meetings per year. If the BoC believes inflation will be above target (hawkish), it will raise interest rates in order to bring it down. This is bullish for the CAD since higher interest rates attract greater inflows of foreign capital. Likewise, if the BoC sees inflation falling below target (dovish) it will lower interest rates in order to give the Canadian economy a boost in the hope inflation will rise back up. This is bearish for CAD since it detracts from foreign capital flowing into the country.

Read more.

Next release: Wed Jul 15, 2026 13:45

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: 2.25%

Previous: 2.25%

Source: Bank of Canada

100만 명이 넘는 사용자가 FXStreet를 통해 실시간 시장 데이터, 차트 도구, 전문가 인사이트, 포렉스 뉴스를 이용합니다. 포괄적인 경제 캘린더와 교육 웨비나는 트레이더가 정보를 유지하고 신중한 결정을 내리도록 돕습니다. FXStreet는 바르셀로나 본사와 전 세계 지역에 걸쳐 약 60명의 팀으로 구성되어 있습니다.
더 읽기

실시간 시세

이름 / 기호
차트
% 변동 / 가격
GBPUSD
1일 변동
+0%
0
EURUSD
1일 변동
+0%
0
USDJPY
1일 변동
+0%
0

FOREX에 대한 모든 것

탐색 더 많은 도구
트레이딩 아카데미
거래 전략, 시장 인사이트, 금융 기초를 다루는 다양한 교육 기사를 한 곳에서 탐색해보세요.
더 알아보기
코스
거래 여정의 모든 단계에서 성장을 지원하도록 설계된 체계적인 거래 코스를 탐색해보세요.
더 알아보기
웨비나
업계 전문가로부터 실시간 시장 인사이트와 거래 전략을 얻기 위해 라이브 및 온디맨드 웨비나에 참여하세요.
더 알아보기