AUD/USD rises to near 0.6480 as accelerating Fed dovish bets weigh on US Dollar
The AUD/USD pair moves higher to near 0.6480 during the European trading session on Monday.
  • AUD/USD gains to near 0.6480 as rising Fed dovish bets have pushed the US Dollar on the back foot.
  • The US NFP report for July has shown signs of weak labor demand.
  • Investors await the US Services PMI data for July.

The AUD/USD pair moves higher to near 0.6480 during the European trading session on Monday. The Aussie pair gains as demand for risk-perceived assets has increased, following an increase in market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could resume its monetary expansion cycle in the September meeting.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in the September meeting has increased to 80.8% from 41.2% seen on Thursday, a day before the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for July.

Traders raised Fed dovish bets significantly as the US NFP report signaled a slowdown in the labor demand. The report showed an addition of 73K fresh workers, sharply lower than estimates of 110K. Also, employment figures for June were revised significantly lower to 14K from 147K. The Unemployment Rate rose to 4.2%, as expected, from the prior release of 4.1%.

Accelerating Fed dovish bets have weighed heavily on the US Dollar. At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, ticks up to near 98.90. However, the Index fell over 1.4% in a single trading day on Friday from its here-month high of 100.25.

Meanwhile, investors await the US revised S&P Global and ISM Services PMI data for July, which is scheduled to be released on Tuesday.

In Australia, markets are closed on account of a Bank Holiday.

 

Economic Indicator

Nonfarm Payrolls

The Nonfarm Payrolls release presents the number of new jobs created in the US during the previous month in all non-agricultural businesses; it is released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The monthly changes in payrolls can be extremely volatile. The number is also subject to strong reviews, which can also trigger volatility in the Forex board. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish, although previous months' reviews ​and the Unemployment Rate are as relevant as the headline figure. The market's reaction, therefore, depends on how the market assesses all the data contained in the BLS report as a whole.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Aug 01, 2025 12:30

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 73K

Consensus: 110K

Previous: 147K

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

America’s monthly jobs report is considered the most important economic indicator for forex traders. Released on the first Friday following the reported month, the change in the number of positions is closely correlated with the overall performance of the economy and is monitored by policymakers. Full employment is one of the Federal Reserve’s mandates and it considers developments in the labor market when setting its policies, thus impacting currencies. Despite several leading indicators shaping estimates, Nonfarm Payrolls tend to surprise markets and trigger substantial volatility. Actual figures beating the consensus tend to be USD bullish.


 

FXStreet
Trade The World
100만 명이 넘는 사용자가 FXStreet를 통해 실시간 시장 데이터, 차트 도구, 전문가 인사이트, 포렉스 뉴스를 이용합니다. 포괄적인 경제 캘린더와 교육 웨비나는 트레이더가 정보를 유지하고 신중한 결정을 내리도록 돕습니다. FXStreet는 바르셀로나 본사와 전 세계 지역에 걸쳐 약 60명의 팀으로 구성되어 있습니다.
Read More

LIVE QUOTES

Name / Symbol
Chart
% Change / Price
GBPUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
EURUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
USDJPY
1 D change
+0%
0

ALL ABOUT FOREX

탐색 더 많은 도구
트레이딩 아카데미
거래 전략, 시장 인사이트, 금융 기초를 다루는 다양한 교육 기사를 한 곳에서 탐색해보세요.
더 알아보기
코스
거래 여정의 모든 단계에서 성장을 지원하도록 설계된 체계적인 거래 코스를 탐색해보세요.
더 알아보기
웨비나
업계 전문가로부터 실시간 시장 인사이트와 거래 전략을 얻기 위해 라이브 및 온디맨드 웨비나에 참여하세요.
더 알아보기