Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD climbs above $4,250 as Fed rate cut weakens US Dollar
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to seven-week highs near $4,275 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extends its upside as the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) quarter-point rate cut drags the US Dollar (USD) lower. 
  • Gold price gains momentum to around $4,275 in Friday’s early Asian session. 
  • The Fed’s decision on Wednesday to cut rates by 25 basis points in a split vote supports the yellow metal. 
  • Positive developments surrounding the Ukraine peace deal might cap the upside for the Gold price. 

Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to seven-week highs near $4,275 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extends its upside as the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) quarter-point rate cut drags the US Dollar (USD) lower. 

The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased by the most in nearly four and a half years last week, according to the US Department of Labor (DOL) on Thursday. This weaker-than-expected jobs data weighs on the Greenback and provides some support to the USD-denominated commodity price. 

The Fed decided to cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) in a split vote on Wednesday, putting it in a range of 3.50% to 3.75%, its lowest level in three years. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

However, Fed policymakers signaled a likely pause in further reductions as they monitor labor market trends and inflation that "remains somewhat elevated.” Markets are currently pricing in nearly a 78% probability that the Fed will hold interest rates steady next month, compared with a 70% odds just before the rate cut announcement, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Hopes for a Ukraine peace deal could undermine a traditional safe-haven asset like Gold. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Thursday that Kyiv’s delegation spoke with top US officials to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine in a video call after presenting America with a revised 20-point framework to end the war with Russia.

(This story was corrected on December 12 at 00:30 GMT to say, in the first bullet point, that Gold price gains momentum to around $4,275 in Friday’s early Asian session, not European session.)

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

FXStreet
Trade The World
100만 명이 넘는 사용자가 FXStreet를 통해 실시간 시장 데이터, 차트 도구, 전문가 인사이트, 포렉스 뉴스를 이용합니다. 포괄적인 경제 캘린더와 교육 웨비나는 트레이더가 정보를 유지하고 신중한 결정을 내리도록 돕습니다. FXStreet는 바르셀로나 본사와 전 세계 지역에 걸쳐 약 60명의 팀으로 구성되어 있습니다.
Read More

LIVE QUOTES

Name / Symbol
Chart
% Change / Price
XBRUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
XTIUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
XAUUSD
1 D change
+0%
0

ALL ABOUT OIL

탐색 더 많은 도구
트레이딩 아카데미
거래 전략, 시장 인사이트, 금융 기초를 다루는 다양한 교육 기사를 한 곳에서 탐색해보세요.
더 알아보기
코스
거래 여정의 모든 단계에서 성장을 지원하도록 설계된 체계적인 거래 코스를 탐색해보세요.
더 알아보기
웨비나
업계 전문가로부터 실시간 시장 인사이트와 거래 전략을 얻기 위해 라이브 및 온디맨드 웨비나에 참여하세요.
더 알아보기