Japan’s Katayama: Stresses the need to stabilize weak Yen

Additional comments

I will aim for both economic growth, financial consolidation.

Will pursue fiscal and economic policies while balancing with fiscal prudence.

Too early to talk about the size of the supplementary budget right now.

It's up to the BoJ on the specifics of monetary policy.

We need the BoJ and government cooperation to have effective economic policies.

No comment on BoJ interest rate.

Cannot say Japan has exited deflation fully.

Net debt-to-GDP ratio is enough as a key fiscal gauge.

Cutting sales tax shouldn't be handled lightly.

I cannot comment on forex rates.

Generally speaking, a weak yen boosts the cost of food, so we need to be quick to launch measures to cushion the impact.

“Takaichi trade" has calmed down somewhat.

Market reaction

The comments from Japan’s Katayama have not impacted the Japanese Yen (JPY) significantly. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY trades 0.1% down to near 151.80.

Japanese Yen FAQs

What key factors drive the Japanese Yen?

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.

How do the decisions of the Bank of Japan impact the Japanese Yen?

One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.

How does the differential between Japanese and US bond yields impact the Japanese Yen?

Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.

How does broader risk sentiment impact the Japanese Yen?

The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

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