BoJ’s Tamura: Even if BoJ raises policy rate further, monetary conditions will remain accommodative
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Naoki Tamura said on Friday that even if the central bank raises the policy rate further, monetary conditions will remain accommodative.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Naoki Tamura said on Friday that even if the central bank raises the policy rate further, monetary conditions will remain accommodative.

Key quotes

Personally feel Japan's recent inflation is becoming sticky.

We may be able to judge that BoJ's price goal has been achieved as early as this spring.

We are in a phase where we need to scrutinise various data to determine whether Japan can make a smooth landing towards achieving price target.

Consumer inflation stabilising but must be vigilant to price outlook given renewed yen downtrend.

Expect food prices to continue rising.

Japan's output gap is already in positive territory, lack of supply capacity putting upward pressure on prices.

Expect wage growth to achieve levels consistent with 2% price target this year.

Expect BoJ to continue raising interest rate in line with improvements in economy, prices.

Underlying inflation rising gradually, very close to becoming embedded around that level,

Last remaining piece for me in determining whether BoJ's price goal is met is whether inflation is becoming embedded around that level.

I think there is good chance we can determine by around spring this year that inflation has become embedded around 2%.

My view is that impact of past interest rate hikes on Japan's economy has been very limited.

There is still quite some distance before interest rates reach level deemed neutral to economy.

Even if BoJ raises policy rate further, monetary conditions will remain accommodative.

Once BoJ’s policy rate exceeds 1%, stimulus effect of its policy will gradually weaken.

I have been saying Japan's neutral rate is at least around 1%, though must be mindful there is divergence in the estimate depending on how you measure it.

Market reaction  

At the press time, the USD/JPY pair is up 0.16% on the day to trade at 152.94.

Bank of Japan FAQs

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is the Japanese central bank, which sets monetary policy in the country. Its mandate is to issue banknotes and carry out currency and monetary control to ensure price stability, which means an inflation target of around 2%.

The Bank of Japan embarked in an ultra-loose monetary policy in 2013 in order to stimulate the economy and fuel inflation amid a low-inflationary environment. The bank’s policy is based on Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE), or printing notes to buy assets such as government or corporate bonds to provide liquidity. In 2016, the bank doubled down on its strategy and further loosened policy by first introducing negative interest rates and then directly controlling the yield of its 10-year government bonds. In March 2024, the BoJ lifted interest rates, effectively retreating from the ultra-loose monetary policy stance.

The Bank’s massive stimulus caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers. This process exacerbated in 2022 and 2023 due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which opted to increase interest rates sharply to fight decades-high levels of inflation. The BoJ’s policy led to a widening differential with other currencies, dragging down the value of the Yen. This trend partly reversed in 2024, when the BoJ decided to abandon its ultra-loose policy stance.

A weaker Yen and the spike in global energy prices led to an increase in Japanese inflation, which exceeded the BoJ’s 2% target. The prospect of rising salaries in the country – a key element fuelling inflation – also contributed to the move.

Lebih sejuta pengguna bergantung pada FXStreet untuk data pasaran masa nyata, alat carta, pandangan pakar dan berita Forex. Kalendar ekonomi yang komprehensif dan webinar pendidikan mereka membantu pedagang kekal bermaklumat dan membuat keputusan yang dikira. FXStreet disokong oleh pasukan kira-kira 60 profesional di ibu pejabat Barcelona dan pelbagai wilayah global.
Baca Lagi

SEBUT HARGA LANGSUNG

Nama / Simbol
Carta
% Perubahan / Harga
GBPUSD
Perubahan 1 hari
+0%
0
EURUSD
Perubahan 1 hari
+0%
0
USDJPY
Perubahan 1 hari
+0%
0

SEMUA TENTANG FOREX

Terokai Lebih Banyak Alat
Akademi Perdagangan
Layari pelbagai artikel pendidikan yang merangkumi strategi perdagangan, wawasan pasaran, dan asas kewangan, semuanya di satu tempat.
Ketahui Lebih Lanjut
Kursus
Terokai kursus perdagangan berstruktur yang direka untuk menyokong pertumbuhan anda di setiap peringkat perjalanan perdagangan anda.
Ketahui Lebih Lanjut
Webinar
Sertai webinar langsung dan atas permintaan untuk mendapatkan wawasan pasaran masa nyata dan strategi perdagangan daripada pakar industri.
Ketahui Lebih Lanjut