Brent: Support at $96 with tail-risk above $200 – Societe Generale
Oleh FXStreet Insights Team
Dikemas kini: 27 May 2026
ARTIKEL POPULAR
Societe Generale’s commodity team notes Brent has lost its 50-day moving average and is testing support around $96.
Societe Generale’s commodity team notes Brent has lost its 50-day moving average and is testing support around $96. They map several Strait of Hormuz reopening scenarios, with early resolution pointing to Brent near $85 by year-end, later outcomes implying spikes toward $150–$160, and a low-probability prolonged disruption scenario where Brent could exceed $200 per barrel.
Hormuz scenarios drive wide price paths
"Brent carved out a lower high around $113 last week and has given up the 50-DMA for the first time since January."
"The low reached earlier in May, around $96, serves as interim support."
"If Brent fails to defend it, a deeper downtrend may take shape toward the ascending trend line drawn since March at $91/$90 and $86."
"In summary: an early June reopening would nudge Brent down steadily to around $85/bbl by year-end."
"The lower probability event of Hormuz staying shut until year-end means Brent could top $200/b."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)
Lebih sejuta pengguna bergantung pada FXStreet untuk data pasaran masa nyata, alat carta, pandangan pakar dan berita Forex. Kalendar ekonomi yang komprehensif dan webinar pendidikan mereka membantu pedagang kekal bermaklumat dan membuat keputusan yang dikira. FXStreet disokong oleh pasukan kira-kira 60 profesional di ibu pejabat Barcelona dan pelbagai wilayah global.
Baca Lagi
