Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains weak, with upside attempts limited at $37.25

Technical analysis: Silver breached a mid-term trendline support.

From a technical perspective, XAG/USD broke the ascending trendline support from April lows, suggesting that the bullish cycle has come to an end. The 4-hour RSI has reached strongly oversold levels, which often leads to a bullish correction, but, in the current context, rallies are likely to find sellers.

Immediate resistance lies at the mentioned $37.30 intra-day highs. The pair might extend its correction to retest previous support, at $37.95, or even the broken trendline, now at $38.80. Further correction looks unlikely right now.

To the downside, bears are likely to retest the mentioned $36.80 low, but there is little scope for further decline considering the pair’s oversold condition. Below here, the next potential targets are the July 9 low, at $36.30, and the June 24 and 29 lows, at $35.34.

XAG/USD Daily Chart

Silver FAQs

Why do people invest in Silver?

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Which factors influence Silver prices?

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

How does industrial demand affect Silver prices?

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

How do Silver prices react to Gold’s moves?

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.