Pi Network Price Forecast: Recovery at risk as core team wallets shift 100 million PI tokens

Pi Network’s supply problem

Out of Pi Network’s 8.27 million circulating supply, the majority is off exchanges, according to PiScan data, which shows the total reserve of Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) at 417.20 million PI. This suggests that the majority of the selling pressure comes from off-exchange transactions.

Pi Network metrics. Source: PiScan

The outflow of 50 million PI tokens from Pi Network Foundation wallet #11 on Sunday resulted in strategic distribution within the community via Foundation Wallet #2. At the same time, the 50 million PI outflow from the liquidity reserve remains stagnant in a different wallet at press time. This increased outflow activity from Pi core team wallets risks adding to the available supply.

Pi Network transactions data. Source: PiScan

Technical Outlook: Will Pi Network extend the recovery?

Pi Network price dropped 13% on Friday, resulting in a fresh low of $0.1533 before retracing higher to close at $0.1996 on the day. At the time of writing, PI trades above $0.2150, hinting at a potential V-shaped reversal.

If the bounce back from the $0.2000 psychological level extends, PI could face a hurdle at $0.2755, marked by the centre Pivot Point level.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 28 on the daily chart, reversing within the oversold zone while the selling pressure remains heightened. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on the same chart inches closer to its signal line while maintaining a declining trend, hinting at a potential crossover. If MACD crosses above the signal line, it would flash a positive shift in trend momentum that could signal extended recovery.

PI/USDT daily price chart.

Looking down, crucial support levels for Pi Network remain at the $0.2000 psychological level and the S1 Pivot Point level at $0.1731.

Cryptocurrency prices FAQs

How do new token launches or listings affect cryptocurrency prices?

Token launches influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.

How do hacks affect cryptocurrency prices?

A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.

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Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence crypto assets mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.

How do major crypto upgrades like halvings, hard forks affect cryptocurrency prices?

Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs.