XRP Price Prediction: XRP struggles at $3 as network activity dwindles

XRP struggles at $3.00 as network activity slows

The elevated retail demand for XRP, as indicated by the futures weighted funding rate and Open Interest (OI), has not been reflected in on-chain activity. According to CryptoQuant’s data, active addresses on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) are down 55% to approximately 22,500 from roughly 50,000 in mid-July.

Such a reduction in addresses interacting with the network, whether by sending or receiving XRP, indicates reduced network engagement, low transaction volume and diminishing demand for the token.

If the downtrend in the Active Addresses metric persists, XRP could experience price stagnation or downside pressure.

XRP Active Addresses | Source: CryptoQuant

Technical outlook: XRP could extend decline

XRP is trading around the $3.00 critical level on Monday, down from an intraday high of $3.06. The daily chart below shows a descending trend line support around the same level, increasing the potential for a rebound.

Still, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has dropped to 53 after peaking at 61 on Saturday, backs the short-term bearish outlook. If the RSI extends the decline below the midline, indicating that bullish momentum is fading, XRP could drop to retest the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support at $2.94.

The 100-day EMA at $2.81 and the 200-day EMA at $2.56 are positioned to offer support in case investors significantly reduce their exposure.

XRP/USDT daily chart

Traders should monitor the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for insights into the next direction the XRP price is likely to take. If the blue MACD line remains above the red signal line, a bullish reversal toward resistance at $3.18, which was previously tested on Saturday, could gain momentum.

Still, a sell signal would be confirmed if the same blue MACD line crosses below the red signal line, affirming risk-off sentiment. Investors often consider de-risking with the MACD indicator trending downward, while maintaining a sell signal.

Cryptocurrency prices FAQs

How do new token launches or listings affect cryptocurrency prices?

Token launches influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.

How do hacks affect cryptocurrency prices?

A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.

How do macroeconomic releases and events affect cryptocurrency prices?

Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence crypto assets mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.

How do major crypto upgrades like halvings, hard forks affect cryptocurrency prices?

Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs.