纽元:疑虑可能增加 – 德国商业银行
在新西兰,完整的通胀数据仅每季度发布一次;每个月只跟踪部分价格,并发布这些价格的通胀率,德国商业银行(Commerzbank)外汇分析师沃尔克马尔·鲍尔(Volkmar Baur)指出。

在新西兰,完整的通胀数据仅每季度发布一次;每个月只跟踪部分价格,并发布这些价格的通胀率,德国商业银行(Commerzbank)外汇分析师沃尔克马尔·鲍尔(Volkmar Baur)指出。

利率保持不变的风险增加

“因此,情况并不完整,央行在下周做出货币政策决策时将对第二季度的完整数据给予显著更多的重视,而不是7月份的月度数据。”

“然而,今天发布的数据不会被完全忽视。这些数据显示新西兰的通胀可能再次加速。月度指数表明,通胀可能从6月份的2.8%上升至7月份的3.8%。尽管需要注意的是,食品在月度指标中占比过高,且这里的增幅尤其明显。因此,第三季度的完整CPI可能不会像月度指标那样大幅上升。尽管如此,这可能会让新西兰储备银行(RBNZ)深思。”

“大多数分析师和市场预计下周三关键利率将进一步下调至3%。然而,今天的数据使得利率保持不变的风险有所增加。”

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