澳元/美元:澳元进一步下跌似乎仍然可能 – 大华银行
尽管预计澳元(AUD)将小幅走低,但似乎没有足够的动能达到本周早些时候见到的0.6443低点。从长远来看,AUD的进一步下跌仍然似乎很可能;大华银行集团的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出,下一关注水平是0.6440。

尽管预计澳元(AUD)将小幅走低,但似乎没有足够的动能达到本周早些时候见到的0.6443低点。从长远来看,AUD的进一步下跌仍然似乎很可能;大华银行集团的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出,下一关注水平是0.6440。

没有足够的动能达到0.6443低点

24小时展望:“我们预计AUD昨天将在0.6480和0.6530之间震荡交易。随后的价格走势并未如预期那样发展,AUD跌至0.6472的低点。考虑到下行动能略有增加,我们预计AUD今天将小幅走低。然而,似乎没有足够的动能达到本周早些时候见到的0.6443低点。请注意,0.6460还有另一个支撑位。阻力位在0.6495;突破0.6515将表明当前的温和下行压力已经减弱。”

1-3周展望:“在我们最近的叙述中(10月13日,现货在0.6500),指出‘AUD的进一步下跌仍然似乎很可能,下一关注水平是0.6440。’在AUD随后跌至0.6443的低点并反弹后,我们昨天强调了以下内容:‘尽管相对急剧的下跌,但下行动能并没有明显增加。也就是说,只要0.6545(‘强阻力’水平)保持,AUD仍有机会测试0.6440。’我们继续持有相同观点,但‘强阻力’现在在0.6530而不是0.6545。”

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