澳元:偏鹰派的澳洲联储维持利率不变将有助于澳元 - 荷兰国际集团
澳大利亚储备银行维持利率不变,并在声明和新闻发布会上采取了适度鹰派的语气。

澳大利亚储备银行维持利率不变,并在声明和新闻发布会上采取了适度鹰派的语气。

澳元/美元目标在第四季度达到0.68

"行长米歇尔·布洛克重申了对价格粘性的担忧,尽管承认了每月CPI的波动性。尽管经济不确定性不可忽视,强劲的就业市场也在更鹰派的评估中发挥了作用。"

"市场目前仅预计11月会议将放松10个基点,12月将放松13个基点。我们的预测仍然是RBA将在第四季度再次降息,但风险现在更加平衡。预计短期利率将进一步上升,澳元对即将发布的通胀和就业市场数据的敏感性将增强。"

"在此次RBA会议之前,澳元一直是我们最喜欢的货币之一,我们认为它还有进一步上涨的空间,尤其是在与那些国内央行故事不吸引人的货币(尤其是加元)交叉时。在澳元/美元方面,我们仍然目标在第四季度达到0.68。"

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