澳大利亚:能源成本推高CPI——大华银行
大华银行经济学家李秀安指出,尽管截尾均值CPI略低于澳储行早期预测,但澳大利亚通胀仍然居高不下,住房和电力是主要推动因素。

大华银行经济学家李秀安指出,澳大利亚通胀依然高企,住房和电力是主要推动因素,尽管截尾均值CPI略低于澳储行早期预测。报告强调,相对较新的月度CPI系列需要更多时间才能成为主要基准,而与能源相关的补贴及其到期正在扭曲电价动态和测量的通胀水平。

住房和电力推动价格压力

“2月整体CPI环比持平,年通胀率回落至3.7%,低于市场普遍预期的3.8%。”

“1月和2月的数据表明,基础通胀略低于澳储行2026年2月货币政策声明中的预期。”

“年住房通胀率从1月的6.8%上升,反映了电力、新建住宅和租金成本的上升。”

“剔除联邦和州政府过去一年电力补贴的影响,电价在截至2月的12个月内上涨了4.9%。”

“即使在美以-伊朗战争扰乱中东能源供应并推高汽油价格之前,2月通胀仍然居高不下,凸显经济中持续存在的价格压力。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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