英镑在1.33中间区间保持稳定 – 加拿大丰业银行
英镑(GBP)在1.33中低位区域保持稳定,受情绪驱动的盘整跟随预算后反弹,而交易者在等待周五的英国贸易和工业生产数据,并权衡英国央行(BoE)2026年的政策前景,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告。

英镑(GBP)在1.33中低位区域保持稳定,受情绪驱动的盘整跟随预算后反弹,而交易者在等待周五的英国贸易和工业生产数据,并权衡英国央行(BoE)2026年的政策前景,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告。

在英国央行数据发布前基本面风险有限

“英镑保持稳定,在1.33的下方/中间区间延续紧密盘整。英镑在预算后反弹的后续中似乎缺乏新的催化剂,走势完全由情绪驱动(反映在英镑与其3个月风险逆转之间的21天滚动相关性为0.9)。”

“在周五的贸易和工业生产数据发布之前,基本面风险事件有限,英国央行的评论相对温和,暗示政策利率前景没有实质性变化。”

“市场完全定价在12月18日的下一次英国央行会议上将降息25个基点,但2026年的前景似乎不那么确定,因为政策制定者评估额外宽松的必要性。”

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