加拿大元在加拿大央行SDG罗杰斯讲话前保持稳定 – 加拿大丰业银行

加拿大元在加拿大央行SDG罗杰斯讲话前保持稳定 – 加拿大丰业银行

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加拿大元（CAD）对美元（USD）交易持平，并在一系列关键技术水平附近延续其近期的盘整，加拿大丰业银行首席外汇策略师肖恩·奥斯本（Shaun Osborne）和埃里克·西奥雷特（Eric Theoret）指出。

加拿大元（CAD）对美元（USD）交易持平，并在一系列关键技术水平附近延续其近期的盘整，加拿大丰业银行首席外汇策略师肖恩·奥斯本（Shaun Osborne）和埃里克·西奥雷特（Eric Theoret）指出。

利差和市场情绪中性

“短期风险在于相对央行政策的前景，因为市场参与者关注加拿大央行（BoC）高级副行长罗杰斯（Rogers）在东部时间上午8:15的讲话。收益率利差保持稳定，几乎没有方向性，而期权市场保持中性，风险反转接近平稳。”

“我们对美元/加元的公允价值（FV）估计目前为1.3744，表明CAD目前存在显著低估。美元/加元的最新盘整值得注意，盘整集中在2024年9月/2025年2月反弹的61.8%回撤位1.3944附近。”

“在200日移动平均线（1.3978）处观察到阻力，略低于心理重要的1.40水平。若跌破1.3900，可能会瞄准50日移动平均线1.3835。我们预计短期内将在1.3920和1.3980之间震荡。”

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