加元回落至1.39区间中部 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大央行(BoC)对经济前景的评估持悲观态度,认为这是由于美国贸易政策导致的“结构性”转变,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

加拿大央行(BoC)对经济前景的评估持悲观态度,认为这是由于美国贸易政策导致的“结构性”转变,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

美联储的谨慎削弱了加拿大央行决策的影响

“但是,由于货币政策只能帮助促进经济调整,而通胀预计在可预见的未来基本上将保持在目标水平或接近目标,因此它也暗示其降息周期已结束——除非出现重大新进展。”

“在会议后,期限收益率略微上升,推动加元上涨,但随着美联储会议后美元和美国收益率的回升,涨幅回吐。由于在两家央行决策后利差几乎没有净改善,加元可能会进一步下滑。”

“昨日现货价格短暂跌破1.39,但反弹回到中间的1.39区间,使得加元面临技术性驱动的回调风险,可能回到1.40区域。价格在非常短期的图表上形成了一个迷你反向头肩顶形态;如果美元突破1.3965的颈线,将目标指向本周末前上涨至1.4025。”

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