金价在美联储会议意外偏鹰后下跌 - 德国商业银行
德国商业银行(Commerzbank)外汇和商品研究主管阮氏秋兰指出,黄金价格在周三美联储会议后继续下跌,暂时大幅低于每盎司3300美元的水平。

德国商业银行(Commerzbank)外汇和商品研究主管阮氏秋兰指出,黄金价格在周三美联储会议后继续下跌,暂时大幅低于每盎司3300美元的水平。

黄金的中期上涨潜力

“决定性因素是美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会上表现得比预期更为鹰派。这与最初发布的声明相悖,后者省略了对之前强劲经济增长的提及,而是指出上半年经济增长放缓。”

“然而,鲍威尔并没有借此机会为市场准备即将到来的降息。他避免回答关于在9月份的下次会议上是否满足降息条件的问题。因此,鲍威尔给人的印象是所有情况仍然开放。已经在会议上投票支持降息的两位FOMC成员暗示降息正在逼近。”

“这也得到了日益增加的政治压力的支持。即使美联储在9月份不降息,且因此比之前预期的时间晚,特朗普忠诚的候选人在鲍威尔任期结束后接任的可能性依然很高,这将导致美联储在最晚时刻大幅降息。推迟并不意味着取消。因此,我们仍然看到黄金的中期上涨潜力。”

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