美元/离岸人民币维持在7.12以上,因为中国贸易数据令人失望 – 布朗兄弟哈里曼
美元/离岸人民币在7.1200的关键支撑位上方保持稳定,布朗兄弟哈里曼外汇分析师报告。

美元/离岸人民币在7.1200的关键支撑位上方保持稳定,布朗兄弟哈里曼外汇分析师报告。

中国贸易顺差创纪录

“中国8月份的贸易数据继续显示出国内需求疲软以及与美国的脱钩。在截至8月份的12个月中,中国的贸易顺差上升至创纪录的11658亿美元,而与美国的贸易顺差在8月份缩小至4730亿美元,为2021年1月以来的最低水平。”

“在8月份,出口和进口的增长均未达到预期。出口同比增长4.4%(预期:5.5%),而7月份为7.2%;进口同比增长1.3%(预期:3.4%),而7月份为4.1%。进口增长的疲软凸显了持续疲弱的国内需求。”

“在我们看来,逐步重新评估中国货币可能有助于刺激消费者支出,通过更便宜的进口提高可支配收入。总之:美元/离岸人民币有下行的空间。”

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