美元/加元在CPI公布前维持在1.40
美元/加元维持在1.4000上方,因为市场在等待加拿大10月份的消费者物价指数(CPI),预计同比降至2.1%。较低的通胀数据将与加拿大央行的前景一致,并支持当前的利率预期,从而限制加元的进一步下行,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

美元/加元维持在1.4000上方,因为市场在等待加拿大10月份的消费者物价指数(CPI),预计同比降至2.1%。较低的通胀数据将与加拿大央行的前景一致,并支持当前的利率预期,从而限制加元的进一步下行,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

加拿大通胀预计将放缓,加元下行空间有限

“美元/加元保持在1.4000的关键支撑位上方。加拿大10月份的CPI数据即将公布(伦敦时间下午1:30,纽约时间上午8:30)。整体CPI预计同比降至2.1%(加拿大央行第四季度预测:2.0%),而9月份为2.4%,反映出能源价格的下降。核心CPI(截尾CPI与中位CPI的均值)预计为3%(加拿大央行第四季度预测:2.9%),而9月份为3.15%。”

“如果如此,加拿大的通胀背景数据将支持市场对未来12个月维持在2.25%的利率定价,以及未来两年的加息预期。这限制了加元的下行空间。”

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