美元走强,因为美联储暗示放缓宽松步伐 - 布朗兄弟哈里曼
美元(USD)和国债收益率正在巩固FOMC会议后的涨幅。美国和中国达成了一项为期一年的贸易休战协议。根据该协议,两国计划取消部分关税,撤回出口管制并减少其他贸易壁垒。然而,风险资产的交易仍然处于防御状态,因为协议的迹象在本周早些时候已经显现,而美联储则抑制了宽松预期,布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)外汇分析师报告称。

美元(USD)和国债收益率正在巩固FOMC会议后的涨幅。美国和中国达成了一项为期一年的贸易休战协议。根据该协议,两国计划取消部分关税,撤回出口管制并减少其他贸易壁垒。然而,风险资产的交易仍然处于防御状态,因为协议的迹象在本周早些时候已经显现,而美联储则抑制了宽松预期,布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)外汇分析师报告称。

FOMC宣布鹰派25个基点降息至3.75–4.00%

"FOMC昨天进行了鹰派降息。正如广泛预期的那样,FOMC再次将联邦基金利率下调25个基点至3.75%-4.00%。新闻稿再次警告称,'就业的下行风险在最近几个月上升',这表明未来可能会有更多降息。"

"然而,投票分歧和美联储主席杰伊·鲍威尔的评论表明,未来的宽松步伐将更加谨慎。这可能有助于将美元(USD)推向8月份的高点。美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰再次投票支持50个基点的降息,这在事前已经得到了很好的传达。但与9月份的会议不同,一位参与者(堪萨斯城联邦储备银行行长杰夫·施密德)支持维持利率不变。"

"重要的是,鲍威尔强调,'在12月份的会议上进一步降低政策利率并不是一个必然的结论,远非如此',并补充说,'支持跳过降息的声音越来越多'。在鲍威尔的评论后,联邦基金期货将12月份25个基点降息的几率削减了近0.20个百分点,降至70%。最后,FOMC确认将在12月1日结束其总证券持有量的减少。这是为了确保流动性条件保持充足,并对货币政策的影响最小。"

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