欧元：高企的欧洲储蓄率对消费造成压力 – 野村证券

欧元：高企的欧洲储蓄率对消费造成压力 – 野村证券

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欧洲家庭储蓄率居高不下，抑制了消费增长，野村证券的经济学家报告称，如果储蓄回归到疫情前水平，潜在的GDP增幅可达1-2%。

欧洲家庭储蓄率居高不下，抑制了消费增长，野村证券的经济学家报告称，如果储蓄回归到疫情前水平，潜在的GDP增幅可达1-2%。

欧洲央行、英国央行预测增长假设储蓄正常化

“在欧洲，储蓄率仍然较高，消费增长乏力。如果储蓄率回归到疫情前水平，可能会为GDP增加1-2%。欧洲央行和英国央行假设储蓄率将下降，从而提高未来的GDP增长预测，但两者都强调储蓄可能持续高企的风险。”

“我们预计储蓄率将因利率降低、人口结构、动用近期储蓄的能力以及政策变化而下降；然而，我们强调结构性因素可能使家庭在疫情前相比更倾向于储蓄。”

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