欧元/美元:政治噪音可能削弱 – OCBC
欧元(EUR)在法国总理莱科尔努(Lecornu)在任不到一个月后辞职的消息传出后昨日下滑。OCBC的外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出,货币对最后报在1.1677水平。

欧元(EUR)在法国总理莱科尔努(Lecornu)在任不到一个月后辞职的消息传出后下滑。OCBC的外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出,货币对最后报在1.1677水平。

双向交易仍然可能

"这是自2024年12月以来,继贝鲁(Bayrou)和巴尔尼耶(Barnier)之后第三位辞职的总理。但在辞职后,马克龙总统给莱科尔努48小时的时间来制定一个'国家稳定'的计划。这感觉像是马克龙在'争取时间',到周三,马克龙必须做出选择,要么任命另一位总理,要么解散国民议会,或者辞职(此时辞职的可能性较低)。"

"此外,荷兰将在10月29日举行大选。这些政治发展在短期内可能仍对欧元构成下行风险。然而,整体基本面前景仍然支持欧元,建议采取逢低买入的策略。"

"日线动量略显看跌,但相对强弱指数(RSI)的下降有所缓和。双向交易仍然可能。阻力位在1.1745(21日均线)、1.1810和1.1920(2025年高点)。支撑位在1.1680(50日均线)、1.1640(100日均线,3月低点到9月高点的23.6%斐波那契回撤位)、1.16(100日均线)。"

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