欧元:存在不对称的上行风险 - 荷兰国际集团
欧元/美元在关键美国数据发布前维持在1.160关口附近,欧元的流动性帮助其避免了股市抛售带来的剧烈冲击。到目前为止,G10外汇的损失主要集中在高贝塔货币上,尤其是澳元和纽元,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱指出。

欧元/美元在关键美国数据发布前维持在1.160关口附近,欧元的流动性帮助其避免了股市抛售带来的剧烈冲击。到目前为止,G10外汇的损失主要集中在高贝塔货币上,尤其是澳元和纽元,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱指出。

年末目标仍为1.180

“在我们看来,欧元/美元的上行风险依然存在。该货币对最近相对于其短期公允价值交易偏低,但自法国政治风险减弱以来,它在连续几天内维持超过1%的低估值方面遇到了困难。今早的模型估计将低估值定为0.8%,这表明在关键美国数据发布前,上行空间不对称地大于下行空间。”

“我们的年末目标仍为1.180。尽管上涨的路径可能与今年早些时候的单向看涨走势不同,但积极的12月季节性可能有助于平滑这一走势。”

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