英镑/美元:不太可能有效突破1.3385 – 大华银行
英镑(GBP)对美元(USD)可能会延续超买上涨,但明显突破1.3385的可能性不大。长期来看,英镑可能已进入1.3285/1.3425的区间交易阶段,大华银行集团(UOB Group)的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出。

英镑(GBP)对美元(USD)可能会延续超买上涨,但明显突破1.3385的可能性不大。长期来看,英镑可能已进入1.3285/1.3425的区间交易阶段,大华银行集团(UOB Group)的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出。

英镑的超买上涨可能延续

24小时展望:“虽然我们昨天继续预期英镑将在一个区间内交易,但我们指出‘更强的基本面暗示更高的区间为1.3270/1.3320。’我们没有预料到英镑会急剧上涨至1.3369的高点。尽管超买,但上涨可能延续至1.3385。英镑不太可能明显突破该水平。下行支撑位在1.3325和1.3310。”

1-3周展望:“自上周初以来,我们对英镑持负面看法。上周五,英镑下跌,几乎达到了我们的技术目标1.3140(最低为1.3143),然后反弹。在我们最新的叙述中(8月4日,现货在1.3275),我们强调‘英镑明显跌破1.3140的可能性已大大降低,但只有突破1.3355(‘强阻力’水平)才会表明英镑的疲软已稳定。’昨天,英镑突破了1.3355。英镑可能已进入区间交易阶段。从这里开始,我们预计英镑将在1.3285和1.3425之间交易。”

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