英镑/美元:可能测试1.3435 – 大华银行集团
英镑(GBP)有空间测试1.3435;主要支撑位1.3400预计不会受到威胁。长期来看,下行风险似乎在加大,但任何英镑的疲软可能只是1.3400/1.3535的低位区间的一部分,大华银行集团(UOB Group)外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出。

英镑(GBP)有空间测试1.3435;主要支撑位1.3400预计不会受到威胁。长期来看,下行风险似乎在加大,但任何英镑的疲软可能只是1.3400/1.3535的低位区间的一部分,大华银行集团(UOB Group)外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出。

主要支撑位1.3400预计不会受到威胁

24小时展望:“我们预计英镑昨天将在1.3470和1.3535之间交易。我们的观点是错误的,因为英镑跌至1.3456的低点。尽管下跌,但下行动能仅略有增加。也就是说,英镑有空间测试1.3435。我们不预计主要支撑位1.3400会受到威胁。为了维持动能的积累,英镑必须不突破1.3500(1.3480为次要阻力位)。”

1-3周展望:“两天前(1月6日,现货在1.3535),我们指出英镑‘可能上涨至1.3590’。然而,我们指出‘继续上涨超过这个水平的可能性不高’。在英镑上涨至1.3567并回落后,我们昨天强调‘尽管上行动能有所减缓,只要英镑保持在1.3455(‘强支撑’水平)之上,我们将维持相同的观点。’”英镑随后跌至1.3456的低点。尽管我们的‘强支撑’水平尚未明确突破,但上行动能已经减弱。下行风险似乎在加大,但目前我们预计任何疲软将是1.3400/1.3535的低位区间的一部分。展望未来,如果英镑明显跌破1.3400,可能会触发更持续和大幅的下跌。

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