• LayerZero’s slight increase to $1.58 on Thursday shrugs off weak technicals as the MACD maintains a sell signal.
• The Kelp DAO rsETH exploit is sending ripples through the DeFi sector, shrinking liquidity on the Aave platform by 33%.
• Borrowing rates on Ethereum and stablecoins spiked following the hack and the liquidity crunch caused by aggressive withdrawals.

LayerZero (ZRO) is trading at $1.58 at the time of writing on Thursday, rising from the daily low of $1.54. Despite sentiment broadly improving across the crypto market, interest in ZRO has remained subdued, especially in the retail market.

The perpetual futures Open Interest (OI) has continued to weaken, averaging $111 million on Thursday, down from nearly $114 million the previous day. CoinGlass data shows that the OI peaked at roughly $142 million on April 14, undermining the prevailing retail demand.

Kelp DAO rsETH exploit drains liquidity, hiking DeFi borrowing rates

The recent exploit on Kelp DAO rsETH, which resulted in losses of up to $290 million in the liquid staking token rsETH, is sending shockwaves through the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) sector.

After the attacker minted unbacked rsETH tokens, CryptoQuant’s report says that they were deposited into the Aave (AAVE) platform and exchanged for WETH and stablecoins.

Since Aave holds roughly 83% of the rsETH supply in its aETHrsETH contract, the exploit exposed the protocol to an estimated $124 million to $230 million in potential bad debt.

Aave’s DeFi total value locked (TVL) dropped by approximately 33% from $45 billion to $30 billion over a three-day period following the exploit, resulting in a historical liquidity crunch in the DeFi sector.

Borrowing rates on Ethereum (ETH) and stablecoins spiked as investors rushed to withdraw assets, further exacerbating the liquidity crunch. USDT and USDC borrowing rates on Aave V3 shot up to 14% from 3.4%, as users turned to stablecoins borrowing to exit the protocol.

CryptoQuant states that “ETH borrowing rates spiked to 8%, the highest since at least January 2024, before stabilizing at approximately 5%, more than double the pre-hack level of 2%. ETH, USDC, and USDT are by far the three largest markets on AAVE.”

In a statement issued on Monday, LayerZero attributed the exploitation to the infamous Lazarus Group. LayerZero added that the incident was isolated to KelpDAO’s rsETH configuration and that there was zero contagion to other assets or applications in the ecosystem.

Technical outlook: ZRO mild rebound lacks support

LayerZero trades at $1.58, extending its decline after losing the rising support trendline, which now caps the upside around $1.61. The price holds well below the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), reinforcing a bearish near-term bias as rallies are rejected beneath a dense band of overhead supply.
Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram remains in negative territory on the daily chart, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near 36, suggesting persistent downward pressure, although the RSI is approaching oversold territory.

On the topside, initial resistance emerges near the former ascending trendline at $1.61, with further barriers at the 100-day EMA close to $1.84, the 200-day EMA near $1.85, and the 50-day EMA at $1.87. The EMAs form a broad supply zone that would need to be reclaimed to ease the bearish tone. Initial support lies at the daily low around $1.54. A sustained break below this level could accelerate the decline to the horizontal demand zone at $1.40.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)