AUD/USD Price Forecast: Flat lines around mid-0.7000s; seems vulnerable below 100-day SMA
작성자 Haresh Menghani
수정됨: 8 Jun 2026
인기 기사
The AUD/USD pair attracts some buyers after touching a nearly two-month low, around the 0.7025-0.7020 area during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks follow-through.
- AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on its modest bounce from a nearly two-month low set on Monday.
- Geopolitical risks and Fed rate hike bets continue to underpin the USD, capping gains for spot prices.
- The technical setup seems tilted in favor of bears and backs the case for a further depreciating move.
The AUD/USD pair attracts some buyers after touching a nearly two-month low, around the 0.7025-0.7020 area during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks follow-through. Spot prices currently trade near mid-0.7000s, nearly unchanged for the day, and remain vulnerable amid the underlying bullish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar (USD).
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said that it struck military targets in western and central Iran, hours after the latter fired a salvo of missiles at Israel’s Ramat David air base on Sunday night. The development threatens a fragile ceasefire and tempers hopes for a deal to end a three-month-old Iran war, pushing Crude Oil prices higher. This, in turn, revives inflationary concerns, which, along with Friday's upbeat US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, bolsters the case for an interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2026 and favors the USD bulls. Furthermore, diminishing odds of a near-term rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cap the upside for the AUD/USD pair.
From a technical perspective, spot prices keep a bearish near-term bias following Friday's breakdown below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Moreover, the currency pair is trading below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the March-May rally, validating the near-term negative outlook. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 38, and a negative Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram suggests persistent downside pressure rather than a decisive reversal. Hence, any subsequent move up would face a hurdle at the 100-day SMA around 0.7074, with additional barriers at the 38.2% and the 23.6% levels at 0.7108 and 0.7173, respectively.
On the downside, initial support is located at the 61.8% Fibo. retracement at 0.7003, ahead of a deeper cushion at the 78.6% level near 0.6928 and the prior swing low region around 0.6833.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
AUD/USD daily chart
US Dollar Price Last 30 days
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies last 30 days. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 1.72% | 1.69% | 2.18% | 2.06% | 2.34% | 2.48% | 2.21% | |
| EUR | -1.72% | -0.05% | 0.46% | 0.36% | 0.54% | 0.74% | 0.50% | |
| GBP | -1.69% | 0.05% | 0.53% | 0.39% | 0.67% | 0.83% | 0.55% | |
| JPY | -2.18% | -0.46% | -0.53% | -0.14% | -0.00% | 0.24% | 0.07% | |
| CAD | -2.06% | -0.36% | -0.39% | 0.14% | 0.09% | 0.38% | 0.16% | |
| AUD | -2.34% | -0.54% | -0.67% | 0.00% | -0.09% | 0.25% | -0.03% | |
| NZD | -2.48% | -0.74% | -0.83% | -0.24% | -0.38% | -0.25% | -0.34% | |
| CHF | -2.21% | -0.50% | -0.55% | -0.07% | -0.16% | 0.03% | 0.34% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
100만 명이 넘는 사용자가 FXStreet를 통해 실시간 시장 데이터, 차트 도구, 전문가 인사이트, 포렉스 뉴스를 이용합니다. 포괄적인 경제 캘린더와 교육 웨비나는 트레이더가 정보를 유지하고 신중한 결정을 내리도록 돕습니다. FXStreet는 바르셀로나 본사와 전 세계 지역에 걸쳐 약 60명의 팀으로 구성되어 있습니다.
더 읽기
