the Bank of England with some margin

• The Euro appreciates against a weaker Pound as pressure on UK Prime Minister Starmer grows.
• Markets opened the week in a cautious tone with the US-Iran peace process on tenterhooks.
• German PPI rose 2.5% in March, its strongest reading since August 2022.

The Euro (EUR) advances on Monday against a somewhat weaker British Pound (GBP), as the UK Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, heads to the House of Commons to answer questions about former US ambassador Peter Mandelson’s vetting process.

Lord Mandelson’s appointment caused a scandal last year, due to his ties with convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein. Opposition parties are blaming Starmer for failing the security vetting for the position and calling on him to resign for misleading parliament on previous statements related to the appointment.

Cautious markets with the US-Iran peace process teetering

The market, meanwhile, remains cautious, with most currencies trading within previous ranges as the US and Iran exchange threats, with the second round of peace talks in question. The US has seized an Iranian cargo ship attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz, and Iranian authorities said that they might not attend the peace talks scheduled for next Tuesday due to US violations of the ceasefire.

In Europe, German Producer Prices Index (PPI) data revealed that inflation at factory gates jumped 2.5% in March, its highest monthly reading in nearly four years, confirming the inflationary impact of the war in the Middle East. Year-on-year, the PPI contracted 0.2% following a 3.3% drop in February.

In the UK, the economic calendar is thin on Monday, with the focus on February’s employment report due on Tuesday. Jobless claimants are expected to have eased to a 21.4K increase, from 24.7K in January, while the Unemployment rate is seen steady at 5.2%, and wage inflation is easing somewhat. This will provide the Bank of England with some margin to keep interest rates on hold for some time.