• USD/CHF fails to break 0.8100 and resumes its near-term bearish trend, retreating to the 0.8075 area.
• The US Dollar remains on its back foot amid cooling hopes of immediate Fed tightening.
• Technically, the pair is trading lower within the broader horizontal channel.

The US Dollar (USD) has turned lower against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday’s European trading session, after failing to find acceptance above the 0.8100 level, which keeps the immediate bearish structure in place.  The Dollar remains weighed by the soft US inflation figures released earlier this week, which have cooled hopes of immediate Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes.

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures confirmed that inflationary pressures moderated in June, favoured by a sharp pullback in Oil prices. These numbers provide the Fed further leeway to assess the economic impact of the volatile energy prices, which practically discards a rate hike in July and cools hopes of one in September.

Geopolitical tensions, on the other hand, remain high, as the US and Iran escalated their reciprocal attacks this week, and Iran threatened to close other energy routes, which might bring the global economy to the edge. This is likely to keep appetite for risk subdued and cushion the US Dollar’s downside attempts.

Technical Analysis: Trading lower within a horizontal channel

USD/CHF trades at 0.8073, with recent price action showing a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, yet within a roughly 120-pip range and with momentum indicators at neutral-to-bearish levels. The four-hour Relative Strength Index (14) is hovering just below the 50 line, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator sits marginally below zero, both hinting at subdued bullish conviction.

On the downside, initial support is seen at the July 10 and 15 lows near 0.8030, with key support in the area between early July lows, at 0.8010, and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June's rally, at 0.8007. On the topside, bulls would need to confirm above session highs at 0.8100 to aim for the top of the channel at the area between 0.8135 and 0.8150, which capped rallies in late June and mid-July.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)