EUR/USD Price Forecast: Trades near 1.1650 as bulls look to extends gains above 23.6% Fibo.
Oleh Haresh Menghani
Dikemas kini: 25 May 2026
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The EUR/USD pair opens with a bullish gap at the start of a new week as renewed optimism over a potential US-Iran peace deal weighs heavily on the safe-haven US Dollar (USD).
- EUR/USD kicks off the new week on a positive note as US-Iran peace deal hopes undermine the USD.
- Bets for an interest rate hike by the Fed in 2026 could help limit deeper USD losses and cap spot prices.
- Acceptance above the 23.6% Fibo. backs the case for a further intraday appreciating move for the pair.
The EUR/USD pair opens with a bullish gap at the start of a new week as renewed optimism over a potential US-Iran peace deal weighs heavily on the safe-haven US Dollar (USD). Spot prices climb back closer to mid-1.1600s during the Asian session, though the broader setup warrants some caution before positioning for an extension of a modest recovery from the lowest level since April 7, around the 1.1575 region, touched last Thursday.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is holding above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the April-May downfall. Adding to this, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 58 and a slightly positive Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading hints at improving momentum. This, in turn, backs the case for a further intraday appreciating move, though hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) bets could limit USD losses and cap spot prices.
Hence, any subsequent move up is more likely to confront an immediate hurdle near the 38.2% Fibo. level, around the 1.1675-1.1680 region. This is followed by the 1.1710 confluence, comprising the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and the 50% retracement. The said area should keep the near-term bias capped, above which the EUR/USD pair could target the 61.8% level around 1.1740 and the 78.6% retracement at 1.1785 en route to the cycle high at 1.1842.
On the downside, immediate support is located at the 23.6% retracement at 1.1638, with a deeper floor at the Fibonacci structural anchor around 1.1574, where a break would reopen the broader bearish phase.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
EUR/USD 4-hour chart
US Dollar Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.32% | -0.37% | -0.25% | -0.16% | -0.57% | -0.46% | -0.35% | |
| EUR | 0.32% | -0.06% | 0.07% | 0.14% | -0.26% | -0.15% | -0.03% | |
| GBP | 0.37% | 0.06% | 0.13% | 0.20% | -0.21% | -0.08% | 0.02% | |
| JPY | 0.25% | -0.07% | -0.13% | 0.08% | -0.36% | -0.26% | -0.15% | |
| CAD | 0.16% | -0.14% | -0.20% | -0.08% | -0.42% | -0.32% | -0.21% | |
| AUD | 0.57% | 0.26% | 0.21% | 0.36% | 0.42% | 0.11% | 0.22% | |
| NZD | 0.46% | 0.15% | 0.08% | 0.26% | 0.32% | -0.11% | 0.10% | |
| CHF | 0.35% | 0.03% | -0.02% | 0.15% | 0.21% | -0.22% | -0.10% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
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