Equities: Profits and valuations diverge – HSBC

HSBC Asset Management notes that US equities are at new highs while maintaining their price-earnings premium, supported by robust profit growth expectations around 15% for 2026. Other regions such as Taiwan, South Korea and Brazil have seen notable re-ratings, with global PE discounts shrinking and investors needing to work harder to find value opportunities across markets.

US profits and EM re-ratings in focus

"The US stock market is back at new highs but still trades at the same price-earnings (PE) ratio premium. Many other global markets have seen re-ratings. Why?"

"The answer lies in profits. US profits growth is pencilled in at around 15% in 2026, which has kept the valuation arithmetic in check."

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"Meanwhile, other regions have seen PE discounts turn into PE premiums. Taiwan stands out as the most “expensive” market relative to its history, sporting a premium to its average PE of over 20%. That’s down to its central role in the AI hardware supply chain."

"South Korea also benefits from AI excitement, but despite strong price momentum, expected profit growth of 100% keeps the market trading at a discount."

"Also noteworthy is Brazil, a major oil exporter, where last year’s 30% PE discount is now a 7% premium. That partly reflects a pick-up in investor sentiment towards emerging market risk."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)